There is a set of formulas for calculating AIDS infection. Let's take a look at this formula for calculating the probability of AIDS infection.
What is venereal disease? Formula for calculating the probability of HIV infection
HIV infection probability = other party infection probability × behavior infection probability × missed detection probability
Instructions for use:
1. With regard to the infection probability of the other party, if it is determined that the other person is infected with HIV or a patient, it is calculated by 100%. If it is not possible to determine whether the other person is infected, then depending on the situation, there are generally several situations:
①, if the other party is a female sex worker, it can be calculated according to an average of 1% (reports vary from place to place, as high as 5% in some places)
②, if the other person is gay, it can be calculated at 5 per cent. (it has been reported in the UK that the HIV infection rate among gay people in London is as high as 15 per cent. Some experts estimate that the HIV infection rate among gay men in big cities in China may be as high as 5% 15%)
③, if the general population is calculated according to 0.1% (the total population of China is 1.356 billion, by the end of April this year, a total of 203527 cases of HIV infection have been reported in the mainland. In order to facilitate calculation, let's enlarge this data by 6.67 times to 1.356 million, and the population infection rate is 0.1%).
④, if intravenous drug users, can be calculated according to an average of 10% (the infection rate of intravenous drug users is 4.7% in London and 2.3% in the United Kingdom; it is reported online that the infection rate of drug users in Xinjiang, Yunnan, Sichuan and other places in China is more than 50%, while the infection rate of local injecting drug users in Yili, Xinjiang is as high as 89%).
⑤ and the above situations all have regional characteristics. Generally speaking, the percentage of people who come into contact with people in high-incidence areas and those who come into contact with people from high-incidence areas should be appropriately increased according to the local situation.
2. The probability of being infected through the following behaviors (that is, behavioral infection rate). Assuming that the other party has been identified as infected):
①, passive anal sex without condom 0.1-3.0%
②, uncovered active anal intercourse 0.06%
③, passive vaginal intercourse without condom 0.1-0.2%
④, non-condom active vaginal intercourse 0.03-0.09%
⑤, unprotected contact between husband and wife (5 years) 10%
⑥, having sexual intercourse is multiplied by 15% based on the above probability.
⑦, passive oral sex 0-0.04% (in a study of 102 gay and bisexual men newly infected with HIV, the University of California found that eight of them may have had unprotected oral sex. Be careful not to interpret this sentence as the infection rate of oral sex in the population is 8%)
⑧, blood transfusion 90-100%
⑨, mother-to-child transmission 20-30%
⑩, acupuncture 0.3%
3. For complex behaviors or multiple behaviors, the infection probability can be calculated separately and then added up.
4. About the probability of missing detection:
①, if there is no HIV antibody test, it is calculated according to 100%.
One month after ② and high risk, the antibody test was negative. For convenience, the missed detection rate can be calculated according to 1%.
Three months after ③ and high risk, the antibody test is negative, and the missed detection rate can be calculated according to 0.1%.
④, if it is negative after n tests, it can be calculated according to 1% of the n-th power. '
According to this formula, couples or male and female friends who have a stable one-on-one relationship have almost zero chance of contracting AIDS; in China, men who have condom sex with ordinary strange women have a 9/100000000 chance of being infected with AIDS; while non-condom sex with female sex workers is close to 1/1000. Judging from this result, men and women who have normal relationships and have only one partner in China have little chance of being infected with AIDS. Having multiple sexual partners or having sex with a sex worker is very dangerous.
If you are infected with AIDS, you should pay attention to the following dietary plans
What are the dietary care methods for AIDS patients? Here is the reason to tell you.
Avoid eating raw, cold and greasy food to prevent diarrhea
Chronic diarrhea is a common complication of AIDS and a major contributing factor to weight loss, and the survival time of weight loss is significantly shorter than that of normal weight patients. Therefore, to reduce diarrhea and improve the absorption rate of food is very necessary to maintain the normal weight of patients. Director Lu said that AIDS patients to prevent diarrhea should eat some low-fat food, daily fat intake of about 40g, do not eat too much, difficult to digest will aggravate diarrhea. When cooking food, the use of vegetable oil should be restricted, mainly by steaming, boiling, stewing, burning and other methods, while deep-frying, frying and stir-frying are prohibited. In addition, daily protein intake should be about 100g, energy should be between 10.46-12.55MJ (2500-3000kcal). Can eat some foods with low fat content and rich protein content, such as lean meat, chicken, fish and shrimp and other seafood, bean products and so on. Avoid foods that are rich in fiber and coarse, such as seeds, peeled fruits and vegetables, legumes, corn, onions, garlic, cauliflower, bread and peanuts. Foods with high fiber content, such as leek, celery and mustard, stimulate intestinal peristalsis and aggravate diarrhea. Eat some food that is easy to digest, such as fine noodles, porridge, rotten rice, tofu and so on. Take vitamins and minerals. If there are more times of diarrhea
male masturbation toys , try to eat less vegetables and fruits, and supplement vitamins such as fresh fruit juice and tomato juice. Replenish plenty of water and potassium-rich foods because diarrhea can cause dehydration and drink 3 to 4 cups of water more than usual. Supplement foods rich in potassium ions such as bananas
large dildo , potatoes, fish and meat. There are some foods that are helpful to stop diarrhea, such as white rice
love egg , boiled white noodles, white bread and so on. If flatulence occurs, legumes should not be eaten.
There is a way when you can't eat.
When patients can't eat, experts say they can deal with it, but they should follow the principles, such as keeping some nutritious food beside them so that they can eat when they feel they have an appetite, eating less and eating more, chewing slowly, so that the stomach will not be full too quickly, do not drink too much liquid, such as water, drinks, etc., drink a small amount of liquid when eating, and drink some soup between meals. Drink nutritious drinks such as milk, soy milk and yogurt; eat some food before going to bed at night; eat with friends or listen to your favorite music in a relaxing environment.
I have a bad smell in my mouth. I want to change my diet.
If you feel that the taste of meat is not good, change to eat chicken, duck, fish or eggs; try to increase the flavor of the food, such as sausage, ham, bacon or onions in vegetables to stimulate appetite; sometimes seasoning can remove peculiar smell, vinegar, lemon juice can be added to the food, you can also eat pickles and pickles; drink more tea, water, coffee, fruit or sugar; do not eat food with a strong fishy smell such as fish and shrimp.
Nausea and vomiting should be eaten on time.
Infection and drugs can cause vomiting and nausea, and Director Lu stressed that you can't stop eating without wanting to eat. Eating less or not will only make the situation worse. At this time, you can ask the doctor to prescribe medicine for nausea and vomiting half an hour before the meal; a small amount of low-fat food can restrain nausea and vomiting; eat dry food as far as possible, such as dried steamed bread, dried bread, biscuits
horse dildo , etc.; eat salty food, don't eat sweets; drink clear soup; don't lie down immediately after a meal, preferably every other hour, half lie down and half sit if you feel tired; loose clothes and try to breathe some fresh air after a meal. If the smell of food makes you sick, don't eat it for a short time, while cooking, try not to let the patient smell the smell of cooking; take a small number of meals; do not eat spicy, high-fat and caffeinated food.
Fluid is the main form of pain in the mouth or throat.
Inflammation in the mouth and pharynx is a common symptom for patients. Inflammation can cause pain, and some drugs can cause dry mouth, which can affect eating. According to experts, when there is inflammation or swelling in the mouth or throat, the inflammation should be eliminated first; do not eat rough, high fiber, need a lot of chewing, hard food; to eat soft food, vegetables and meat should be cut very fine; if soft food can not be swallowed, then eat semi-fluid, such as mushroom potato soup, egg corn soup, bananas, porridge, baby food is also a good choice. Avoid eating foods that are too sour or too salty. Do not drink acidic fruit juices such as orange juice, grape juice and tomato juice, which will stimulate the mouth; do not eat spicy food; eat warm food and do not eat too hot food; frozen foods such as popsicles and ice cream can relieve pain and swallowing when eating, and you can try to freeze some foods that can be made into popsicles. Drinking semi-fluid with a straw, cup or directly is less likely to irritate the mouth than eating with a spoon. The side effects of some drugs can lead to dry mouth, drink more light fruit juices (such as apples and peaches), eat sour candies to make saliva moist the mouth, and ask a doctor to prescribe some artificial saliva if necessary.
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